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Mortgage Rate Forecasts Will Rates Go Down In 2022

Mortgage Rate Forecasts: Will Rates Go Down In 2022?

In the 2021 end, Mortgage rates constant their up & down pattern. Mortgage interest rates rose to 3.11% on average till 30 December 2021.

According to Freddie Mac, mostly the latest jump followed sideways movement because the fixed-rate average of 30 years has fluctuated among 2.98% & 3.14% since 28 October 2021.

It reflects the opposing forces like Covid–19 variant Omicron and also positive economic recovery. Mortgage Rates are predicted to rise in 2022 if the coronavirus requires further lockdowns.

Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in 2022?

At the end of December, mortgage rates improved and this should go throughout 2022. The variant Omicron, an ultra–contagious infection strain, is initiating the fears of renewed coronavirus that will again hold back the growth of mortgage rates and even result in some weekly inclines.

But customers’ point of view on the economy is overall still positive and strong while the powerful forces behind rising interest rates containing record-high inflation are also still present.

Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist, Sam Khater, said, “Statistics show that overall economy remains on firm ground, especially cyclical businesses like housing and manufacturing. Furthermore, high asset valuations and low-interest rates continue to drive customer spending.”

Most importantly, the Federal Reserve recently declared that it would speed up tapering to condense these high inflation numbers.

Remember that throughout the pandemic period, the bond purchases of the Fed were artificially keeping mortgage rates low. As the Fed pulls back those purchasers, certainly the mortgage rates will almost rise.

In its last meeting, the Fed has expected to end the mortgage stimulus program before March or April 2022. It means the mortgage rates can be considerably higher in the first quarter of the year. However, interest rates remain for now near historic lows.

If you have put off purchasing a new home or refinancing a home, then 2022 will be the best time to do it. The window to take benefit of a low-rate environment nowadays can close quickly.

Mortgage Interest Rates Forecasting In Upcoming Days

Customers’ sentiments are still strong even with some minor economic slowdown because of the Omicron variant. On condition that provided the economy endures to grow and hut its Covid worries.

So, mortgage rates should slowly rise in the first quarter of 2022. There may always be short stagnant periods of falling rates within the skyward trend.

Mortgage Rate Predictions For 2022

Most importantly, most housing authorities are supposing higher mortgage interest rates in early 2022.

Fannie Mae offers the lowest prediction, putting fixed interest rates of 30 years at 3.10% by the end of Q1. Freddie Mac and Wells Fargo are at the other spectrum end. They are expecting 30 years mortgage rates at as high as 3.35% or 3.40% in early 2022.

Housing Authority 30-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast(Q1 2022)
Fannie Mae 3.10%
National Assoc. of Home Builders 3.26%
National Association of Realtors 3.30%
Mortgage Bankers Association 3.30%
Wells Fargo 3.35%
Freddie Mac 3.40%
Average Prediction 3.29%

Current Mortgage Interest Rate Trends

Last week, average mortgage rates jumped. According to the weekly rate survey of Freddie Mac’s, the average fixed rate of 30 years went from 3.05% to 3.11%.

Surveys show that fixed rates of 15 years raised from 2.3% to 2.33%, on the other hand, a 5/1 ARM average rate also raised from 2.37% to 2.41%.

Month Average 30-Year Fixed Rate
January 2021 2.74%
February 2021 2.81%
March 2021 3.08%
April 2021 3.06%
May 2021 2.96%
June 2021 2.98%
July 2021 2.87%
August 2021 2.84%
September 2021 2.90%
October 2021 3.07%
November 2021 3.07%

The low territory was seen in 2020 & 2021, and mortgage rates are moving away from the record. But remember that mortgage rates are quite ultra-low from a historical viewpoint.

According to the survey of Freddie Mac, just 3 years ago, rates of 30 years were at 4.75% in December 2018, and they were an average of around 3.75% in December 2019.

So if you have not locked a mortgage rate yet, do not lose too much snooze over it. There are still great deals with strong credit, especially for borrowers. Just ensure you work to find the lowest rate and best lender for your unique situation.

Mortgage Rate Trends by Loan Type

Many mortgage customers do not recognize different rates types in today’s mortgage market. But this knowledge will help refinancing households and homebuyers to find the best value according to their situation.

Behind are mortgage rate of 3 months trends for the most popular home loans types: FHA, VA, conventional, and jumbo.

  November 2021 October 2021 September 2021
FHA Loan Rates 3.38% 3.39% 3.25%
VA Loan Rates 2.96% 2.96% 2.81%
Conforming Loan Rates 3.27% 3.27% 3.20%
Jumbo Loan Rates 3.24% 3.19% 3.17%

Which Mortgage Loan Is Best?

The best mortgage depends on your goals and financial situation. For instance, if you want to buy and get a high–priced home with great credit, a jumbo loan is the best bet for you. Jumbo mortgages permit loan amounts above mentioning loan limits that maximum out at $647,200 in several areas of the U.S.

On the other hand, if you are a service member or veteran, a VA loan is almost the right option to choose. By the U.S. Veterans Affairs Department, VA loans are backed. They give ultra-low rates and do not ever charge any PMI (Private Mortgage Insurance). But to qualify, you require a suitable service history.

FHA loans and Conforming loans are great options for low-down payments. Conforming loans permit a minimum of 3% down with FICO scores beginning at 620. FHA loans are even more compassionate about credit. However, homebuyers can frequently qualify with a 580 score or higher, and a less–than–perfect credit history can’t exclude you.

Finally, if you want to refinance or buy real estate in a country area, consider a USDA loan. This type of loan has low market rates similar to VA and decreased mortgage insurance costs.

Mortgage Rate Strategies For 2022

This is to say that mortgage rates are now on the rise, and it expects this trend to continue in 2022 and beyond. But there are still many great opportunities for refinancing homeowners and home buyers.

Here are only some strategies to remember if you are mortgage buying in the next few months.

Get Lenders to Compete For Your Rate

Generally, higher mortgage rates are not great news for mortgagors. But there might be a silver lining. More homeowners are interested in refinancing their homes when rates rise. It means lenders see slower business and are more excited to get in new customers.

You can take benefit from using this environment. Get a mortgage lender’s service to compete for refinancing loans for you by receiving just some quotes and requesting lenders to beat or match the competition. You can get lower interest rates, refinance closing costs, or both.

Shopping around this environment can save thousands of dollars over your mortgage life. And lenders will compete to maximize your life savings. So do not be afraid to find and ask to get a better deal.

Save More by Searching Lowes Rates

Still, mortgage lenders are providing historically low rates for good borrowers. But there is a catch. You will not only look for the advertisement online lowest rate. Because the rates lenders advertise are not accessible to everyone.

They advertise lenders’ rates usually represent borrowers with perfect credit, a sterling credit history, and a 20% down or more. Those criteria do not apply to everyone. The offered rate usually depends on yours:

  • Credit history and credit score
  • Personal finances
  • Down payment (if buying a home)
  • Home equity (if refinancing)
  • LTV (Loan–to–value) ratio
  • DTI (Debt–to–income) ratio

To figure out a lender rate that can offer you based on all the above factors, you have to fill out an application for a loan. Lenders will verify your debts & income and check your credit, and then the lender will give you a ‘real’ quote of the rate based on your financial situation.

Looking for the lowest rate, you should get a minimum of 3 to 5 of these quotes then compare them to find a better offer. In addition, you should also pay attention to APR (Annual Percentage Rate), estimate all discount points and closing costs, extra fees that will charge openly to lower your rate.

This may be like a lot of work. But you can shop mortgage rates in under a day and shearing only a few bases points off the rate, then you can save you thousands.


Buying or refinancing real estate is a big decision or a big purchase. So, take your time to consider your selection. Properly educate yourself about the home purchase requirements, market, and overall procedure, and get a consultation from Mortgage Squad. After that, you will know what to expect and what you should do.

Mortgage depends on your goals and financial situation. So it is important to recognize your goals and all available options for you to achieve them.

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